It's official, those are my choices for the event and why I doubt the Fantasy Bot v1.3.
First event I won against the bot, but I lost on second event and I'm losing on the overall sum. This time I will made some aggressive picks trying to defeat the Fantasy Bot.
Adriano is a big player for the waves of Margaret River. Calculations are on his side, he has proved to be a great competitor in Margaret River.
Italo has a great style of surfing and is improving on every event. I really like the way he surfs and he is one of the head surfers for heat formation. He was not good at Margies last year, but has also not surfed well in bells 2015. He is a fast learner and I believe he will be even better this season.
Here I had to take a great decision and was in doubt to choose him or Adriano De Souza but Adriano was great in all conditions for Margies Pro last year. And for the update for Fantasy Bot v1.3, it will always pick the best surfer in Momentum, even though the conditions are not favourable for the surfer. I'm doubting this update.
Florence is with a different style of surfing this year and it has caught my attention. And for sure, he is the first surfer in overall rank, calculations are on his side. If you simulate the competition by Overall Rank we would have John against De Souza in the final, that would be a great heat, by calculations John wins
Even though Gabriel has not passed rd3 this year he has one of the greatest average scores (14.65), just losing to Jordy and Matt. Putting this on his side, he has not made a bad heat this year. It's just a matter of time for him to start advancing to final heats.
Nat has done great in past Margies Pro events, he surfed very well in Bells and I believe we sill see some grow in his positions. Be aware of picking Nat if you have Caio Ibelli on yout tier A. They face each other in round 1 and maybe on round 3 as well.
Bourez has won Margies Pro on 2014, did very well at Bells and for sure he is back in form after his injury problems on 2015. I really believe he can repeat that great surfing of 2014 at this event. But be aware that Michel can face Jordy in round 3, this would be a possibility of friendly fire.
Joel has a high probability of facing Conner Coffin in round 3 if we dont have upsets on rd1 and rd2 (you can simulate it by Fantasy Simulator). The Fantasy Bot has picked him because he is great in Performance Rank and good in Momentum Rank, but has no great appearance in past Margies positions. For those reason I will choose Nat over him, great picks for calculations would be Kelly or Taj, but be aware that both are in bad momentum.
Jay Davies has shown in 2015 that he knows the waves of Margies Pro like no other surfer.
I'm not gonna doubt the Fantasy Bot for this tier C picks. I'm really believing on it.